Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:16:24 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,542,595
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Eric Vanshelboim and Niklas Schell in the ITF Nivelles, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Vanshelboim vs. Schell tennis match Over/Under 22.5 games is evenly split at 50.00%, indicating no clear consensus on the match's total games. The market's neutrality reflects uncertainty due to limited historical data on both players' styles and head-to-head matchups.
A high-total match (Over 22.5) is plausible if both players are aggressive baseliners or serve-and-volley specialists, leading to frequent long rallies and tiebreaks. Schell's potential serve dominance or Vanshelboim's endurance in 3-set matches could push the total games higher.
An Under 22.5 outcome is possible if either player is a dominant server or employs a defensive, counterpunching style that results in shorter points and fewer games. A quick straight-sets victory or a match dominated by break points could skew the total lower.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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