Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_weather_delay
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:32:31 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Doga Turkmen and Selina Atay in the ITF Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the first set games over/under 10.5 between Doga Turkmen and Selina Atay is currently at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear favorite. The outcome hinges on the match dynamics, as neither player's historical performance or surface preference provides a decisive edge.
Turkmen may dominate with aggressive baseline play, leading to a high-pace set with extended rallies and frequent breaks, pushing the game total over 10.5. Alternatively, Atay's all-court style could create a back-and-forth match with prolonged exchanges, also favoring the 'Over' outcome.
A tightly contested match with both players holding serve efficiently could result in a low-scoring set, resolving under 10.5 games. Additionally, a quick first-set decider (e.g., 6-0 or 6-1) would strongly favor the 'Under' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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