Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_retirements
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:32:59 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Yusuke Takahashi and Hiromasa Koyama in the ITF Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Takahashi vs. Koyama tennis match total games over/under 21.5 is evenly split, indicating no clear consensus on match length. The 50% probability suggests balanced expectations between a shorter or longer match.
A higher-scoring match favoring an 'Over' outcome could result from both players being aggressive baseline ralliers, leading to extended rallies and more games. Alternatively, a match with multiple tiebreaks or a third-set super tiebreak would push the total games above 21.5.
A shorter match favoring 'Under' could occur if either player dominates with powerful serves, leading to quick holds and fewer games. Additionally, a match with early retirements or weather-related delays (if within 7 days) could skew the total below 21.5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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