Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
AI updated 6/27/2026, 8:31:04 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -45.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Alana Subasic and Kateryna Lazarenko in the ITF Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Subasic vs. Lazarenko Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 is heavily skewed toward the 'Over' outcome, with a 99.50% probability, indicating near-certainty of at least 10 games in the first set. This reflects the high likelihood of an extended or competitive first set in women's ITF tennis.
The 'Over' outcome is favored due to the typical length of women's ITF matches, where first sets often exceed 9.5 games, especially in clay court events like ITF Kayseri. Subasic and Lazarenko, both ranked outside the top 200, are unlikely to dominate early, increasing the probability of a prolonged set.
A rare 'Under' outcome could occur if one player dominates the first set with a quick 6-0 or 6-1 scoreline, though this is statistically unlikely in ITF matches. External factors like weather delays or early retirement could also push the market to 50-50, but these are low-probability events.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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