Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/27/2026, 8:30:57 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -45.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Alana Subasic and Kateryna Lazarenko in the ITF Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Subasic vs. Lazarenko tennis match (Set 1 Games O/U 8.5) shows an overwhelming 99.5% probability favoring the 'Over' outcome (9+ games in the first set). This reflects near-certainty that the match will proceed and exceed the threshold.
The 'Over' outcome is highly probable due to the typical length of professional tennis matches, where first sets often exceed 8 games. Both players are ITF-level competitors, increasing the likelihood of a longer, competitive set without early dominance.
The 'Under' outcome could occur if the match is canceled, delayed beyond resolution criteria, or if one player dominates early (e.g., 6-0 or 6-1 in the first set). First-set tiebreaks (counted as 1 game) could also skew totals downward if the set ends quickly.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
