Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: incomplete_match_resolution
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:01:11 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 25% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
11 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Seifert and Herman Hoeyeraal in the ITF Rzeszow, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Seifert vs. Hoeyeraal tennis match total games (Over/Under 21.5) is nearly balanced at 49.50%, indicating a high degree of uncertainty. The 50-50 resolution conditions for incomplete or canceled matches add significant ambiguity to the forecast.
A bullish outcome (Over 21.5 games) could result from a high-scoring match, such as both players employing aggressive baseline strategies leading to extended rallies and tiebreaks. Players with strong serving records but slower court surfaces (e.g., clay) may also contribute to higher game totals.
A bearish outcome (Under 21.5 games) may occur if the match features dominant serving performances, quick straight-set victories, or a defensive, low-risk style of play. Faster surfaces like grass or hard courts could suppress game totals, as could weather conditions delaying play.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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