Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
Calibrated 100% · raw 9990% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:00:45 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
+99.9
Opportunity
97.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 9990.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Serife Pelin Sari and Mandegar Farzami in the ITF Kayseri, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 5:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the first set games over/under 8.5 in the Sari vs. Farzami ITF match is highly skewed toward the 'Under' outcome, with a 99.95% probability assigned to the 'Under' scenario. The extreme imbalance suggests strong expectations of a low-scoring first set.
A bullish outcome (Over 8.5 games) could occur if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies or frequent net approaches, leading to extended points and a higher total game count. Unforced errors or inconsistent serving could also prolong the set, pushing the total toward or above 9 games.
The 'Under' outcome is favored due to potential defensive playstyles, strong serving dominance, or weather conditions (e.g., extreme heat) reducing rally lengths. Short, efficient games from both players or a quick set-deciding tiebreak would also drive the total below 9 games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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