Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:22:28 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Ogura and Sanhui Shin in the ITF Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Ogura vs. Shin match total games O/U 21.5 is evenly split, indicating no clear bias toward over or under. The 50% probability reflects uncertainty due to limited available data on player styles, recent form, or head-to-head history.
A bullish outcome (Over 21.5 games) could result from an aggressive baseline rally style, high-energy serves, or a tendency for both players to engage in long rallies. If either player is known for extended tiebreaks or marathon matches, this scenario becomes more plausible.
A bearish outcome (Under 21.5 games) may occur if the match features quick serve-and-volley play, dominant serve games, or a high number of unreturned serves. Short, efficient matches (e.g., straight-sets wins with minimal breaks) would skew toward the Under outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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