Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Incomplete match resolution (50-50 default)
Calibrated 100% · raw 4995% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:00:22 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
-50.0
Opportunity
37.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,239,166
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4995.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Nguyen and Alyssa Ahn in the ITF Claremont, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Nguyen vs. Ahn: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5' is currently at 50.00%, indicating a balanced expectation between the over and under scenarios. The neutral probability reflects the uncertainty inherent in predicting tennis match dynamics.
A bullish outcome assumes Nguyen and Ahn engage in a high-pace, aggressive match with frequent winners and minimal unforced errors, pushing the set 2 game total to 9 or more. Ahn's serving dominance or Nguyen's baseline aggression could also contribute to higher game counts.
A bearish outcome suggests a tightly contested match with extended rallies, frequent breaks of serve, or a dominant server (either player) minimizing game opportunities. External factors like weather delays or early match conclusion could also skew the outcome under 9 games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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