Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unforeseen_match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:24:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
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| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,132
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Nguyen and Alyssa Ahn in the ITF Claremont, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Nguyen vs. Ahn Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting equal uncertainty about whether the total games in the first set will meet or exceed 10. The neutral probability suggests no clear favorite between the two players based on available data.
A bullish outcome (Over 9.5) could occur if both players engage in an aggressive, high-scoring match with frequent breaks of serve, leading to a rapid accumulation of games. Alexis Nguyen's offensive baseline game or Alyssa Ahn's all-court style may favor higher game totals, especially if the match lacks extended rallies.
A bearish outcome (Under 9.5) may materialize if the match features dominant serving performances, long rallies, or a quick first-set decider (e.g., 6-0 or 6-1). Weather conditions, player fatigue, or tactical adjustments favoring defensive play could also suppress the total game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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