Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Lack of head-to-head or recent form data for both players
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:21:22 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Amirkhamza Nasridinov and Fanming Meng in the ITF Wuning, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the total games in the first set of the Nasridinov vs. Meng tennis match is evenly split, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited available data on both players' styles and recent performances.
A bullish outcome (Over 9.5 games) is plausible if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies or extended baseline exchanges, typical of ITF-level matches, increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring first set.
A bearish outcome (Under 9.5 games) could occur if either player dominates with powerful serves and quick points, or if the match features frequent unforced errors or short, tactical exchanges, reducing the total games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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