Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
AI updated 7/1/2026, 4:00:26 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Jordi Garcia Mestre and Bryan Hernandez Cortes in the ITF Getxo, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Mestre vs. Cortes tennis match Over/Under 23.5 games is perfectly balanced at 50%, reflecting equal uncertainty between high and low-scoring outcomes. The market assumes no prior knowledge of player strengths or match conditions, defaulting to a neutral baseline.
A high-scoring match (Over 23.5 games) is plausible if both players are aggressive baseline hitters with high break-point conversion rates, leading to prolonged rallies and frequent breaks. Weather conditions favoring slower courts (e.g., humidity, wind) could also extend game durations.
An Under 23.5 outcome is likely if one player dominates with a high first-serve percentage and powerful groundstrokes, forcing quick service holds and short games. Fast court surfaces or extreme heat could further accelerate play, reducing total games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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