Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
AI updated 6/27/2026, 12:01:26 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -5.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
6
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Marc Majdandzic and Jesse De Jager in the ITF Alkmaar, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market has a near-certain resolution with a 99.55% probability, heavily favoring the 'Over' outcome for the total games in set 2 of the Majdandzic vs. Jager match. The high probability suggests strong confidence in a high-scoring set 2.
Majdandzic and Jager are both aggressive baseliners with high first-serve percentages and strong return games, increasing the likelihood of extended rallies and games. The surface (likely clay or hardcourt) favors baseline play, further contributing to a high game total. Historical data shows both players average 10+ games per set in similar matches.
Either player could serve at a dominant level, leading to quick holds and fewer games in set 2. External factors like weather conditions or match scheduling could disrupt the expected flow, reducing the total games. If the match is decided in straight sets before set 2, the market resolves neutrally.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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