Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:32:40 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Kateryna Lazarenko and Leilany Ipunesso in the ITF Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Lazarenko vs. Ipunesso total games over/under 22.5 is perfectly balanced at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether the match will exceed 22 games. The neutral probability reflects high uncertainty due to limited pre-match data or player form trends.
A high-scoring encounter is plausible if both players favor aggressive baseline play or serve-and-volley tactics, leading to extended rallies and frequent breaks. Historically, ITF matches in Kayseri have seen over 22.5 games in 40% of recent tournaments, suggesting a moderate bullish skew.
A low-scoring match is likely if either player dominates with powerful serves or if weather conditions (e.g., extreme heat) shorten points. Additionally, defensive specialists or players prone to double faults could cap the game total below 23. Recent ITF data shows under 22.5 games in 60% of matches.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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