Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_injury_or_retirement_during_match
Calibrated 100% · raw 9895% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 12:01:13 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-99.0
Opportunity
98.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -9895.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine and Keshav Chopra in the ITF Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 5:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market overwhelmingly favors the 'Under 23.5' outcome (99.55%) for the Kouzmine vs. Chopra tennis match, indicating strong confidence in a low-scoring, shorter match. The near-certainty suggests both players are known for defensive play or quick matches, reducing expectations for a high-game total.
A low-scoring match (Under 23.5) is likely if both players are serving efficiently with few break points and limited extended rallies. Kouzmine, ranked higher and with a history of quick wins, may dominate with his all-court game, while Chopra’s baseline style could lead to shorter points. Weather conditions or court surface (likely hardcourt) may also suppress game totals.
The 'Over 24' outcome could materialize if the match features aggressive baseline rallies, frequent break points, or an extended third set. Both players’ recent form or head-to-head history might indicate a tendency for longer matches. External factors like windy conditions or a slower court (e.g., clay) could inflate the game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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