Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match abandonment due to injury or external factors
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:15:49 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,542,945
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Kirill Kivattsev and Alessio Basile in the ITF Nivelles, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Kivattsev vs. Basile match total games over/under 23.5 is evenly split at 50%, indicating high uncertainty about the match outcome. The neutral probability reflects balanced risks between over and under scenarios.
A high-scoring match could result from both players adopting aggressive baseline tactics, with Basile's recent form favoring baseline rallies and Kivattsev's serving strength leading to extended games. Weather conditions (e.g., high humidity) may also slow play and increase game counts.
A low-scoring match is plausible if both players prioritize efficiency, with Kivattsev's strong serve and Basile's two-handed backhand leading to quick holds. A defensive, counterpunching style or adverse weather (e.g., wind) could reduce game totals below 24.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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