Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unforeseen_match_cancellation
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:18:31 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,686,119
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Imai and Yuki Mochizuki in the ITF Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Imai vs. Mochizuki tennis match total games O/U 23.5 is evenly split, indicating no clear consensus on whether the match will exceed or fall short of 24 games. The 50% probability reflects the inherent uncertainty in tennis match dynamics and the lack of distinguishing player or match data.
A bullish outcome (Over 23.5 games) could materialize if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies or frequent net play, leading to longer rallies and more games per set. High-altitude or slower court conditions might also prolong points, increasing the total games.
A bearish outcome (Under 23.5 games) could occur if either player dominates with powerful serves and quick points, minimizing rally lengths. Fast court conditions or extreme weather (e.g., heat, wind) might further shorten games, reducing the total count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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