Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: incomplete_set_2_resolution
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:32:05 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Sora Fukuda in the ITF Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Honda vs. Fukuda Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 is evenly split at 50.00%, reflecting high uncertainty in match dynamics. The resolution hinges on whether set 2 totals 10+ games, with tiebreakers counting as single games.
A high-total set 2 could result from aggressive baseline play or frequent breaks, pushing totals over 9.5 games. Honda or Fukuda's strong serve-and-volley style may also extend rallies, increasing game counts.
A dominant server or quick set 2 finish (e.g., 6-0 or 6-1) would likely keep totals under 9.5 games. Early match momentum or weather disruptions could also truncate set 2 before completion.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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