Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_injury_or_withdrawal
AI updated 6/30/2026, 11:30:28 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,157,617
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Sora Fukuda in the ITF Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Honda vs. Fukuda tennis match O/U 21.5 games is nearly balanced, with a slight under bias at 49.50%. The outcome hinges on match dynamics, player styles, and potential tiebreak scenarios.
Honda and Fukuda are both aggressive baseline players with high game counts in recent ITF events, suggesting a higher likelihood of exceeding 21.5 games. Fast court conditions in Tokyo could further inflate the total, favoring the 'Over' outcome.
If either player has a dominant serve or if the match features early breaks and short games, the total games could fall below 22. Defensive playstyles or extreme weather delays might also reduce the game count, supporting the 'Under' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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