Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
Calibrated 100% · raw 9860% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:30:41 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-98.6
Opportunity
97.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,217,306
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -9860.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Herman Hoeyeraal and Alan Wazny in the ITF Rzeszow, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Hoeyeraal vs. Wazny Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5 is heavily skewed toward the 'Over' outcome, with a 99.60% probability. This reflects near-certainty that the match will proceed and exceed 8 games in set 2.
Herman Hoeyeraal and Alan Wazny are both high-ranked ITF players with a history of long, competitive matches. Their playing styles suggest a high-game-count set 2, likely exceeding 8.5 games due to aggressive baseline play and minimal unforced errors.
If the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or set 2 is not completed (e.g., due to retirement, injury, or walkover), the market resolves 50-50. However, this scenario is highly unlikely given the match's ITF scheduling and player availability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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