Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_interruption
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:21:37 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Hanyi Liu and Yuta Kawahashi in the ITF Wuning, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Liu vs. Kawahashi Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5 is evenly split at 50%, indicating high uncertainty about the outcome of the second set's total games. The market reflects no clear consensus on whether the match will exceed or fall short of 11 games in set 2.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5) could result from aggressive baseline play, frequent winners, or extended rallies, particularly if Liu or Kawahashi targets early breaks and avoids quick service holds. High-energy servers or players with strong net play may also contribute to a higher game total.
A bearish outcome (Under 10.5) may occur if either player dominates with powerful serves, leading to quick holds and minimal breaks, or if the match concludes in a short set 2 due to a lopsided scoreline. Defensive specialists or players with consistent first-serve percentages could suppress the game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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