Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Incomplete match resolution (50-50 outcome if match is abandoned)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:21:27 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Hanyi Liu and Yuta Kawahashi in the ITF Wuning, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Liu vs. Kawahashi match total games over/under 21.5 is currently evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on the likely outcome. The neutral probability reflects balanced expectations due to limited market activity or public data on player styles.
A higher game total could result from both players being aggressive baseliners with high break rates, leading to extended rallies and frequent tiebreaks. Serving weaknesses or high-risk styles from either player could also inflate the total.
A lower game total may occur if one or both players are dominant servers with minimal break chances, resulting in straight-sets outcomes. Defensive specialists or players with efficient point construction could also suppress the total.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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