Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Resolution ambiguity
AI updated 6/29/2026, 5:20:19 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,098
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Madelief Hageman and Daniela Vismane in the ITF Amstelveen, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Hageman vs. Vismane match Over/Under 22.5 games is balanced at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited match-specific data. The outcome depends on player styles, court surface, and potential match dynamics.
Hageman and Vismane are both aggressive baseliners, increasing the likelihood of extended rallies and higher game counts. If the match features multiple sets with tiebreaks, the total games could easily exceed 23.
If either player dominates early or the match is shortened due to injury or weather, the total games may fall under 23. Defensive play or quick straight-sets victories would favor the
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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