Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_delays_or_cancellations
Calibrated 100% · raw 2950% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:30:29 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
64%
ORYN Consensus
35%
Signal Score
-29.5
Opportunity
25.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -2950.0¢
Entry: 61-67
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
30 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Tanguy Genier and Laurent Lokoli in the ITF Ajaccio, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 34.50% probability that the total games in the first set of the Genier vs. Lokoli tennis match will meet or exceed 9. The low probability suggests a likely under scenario, with both players known for conservative serving styles.
Genier and Lokoli may engage in an aggressive baseline rally, with both players hitting high-risk shots to extend rallies and increase total games. Unforced errors or inconsistent serving could also inflate the game count, pushing the total to 9 or above.
Both players are known for strong serves and efficient point-ending strategies, likely resulting in quick games and fewer total games. A dominant serve performance or early-set break points could suppress the total to 8 or below.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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