Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond the 7-day window
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:32:16 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,685,318
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Tuncay Duran and Mathys Picard in the ITF Monastir, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Duran vs. Picard tennis match Over/Under 22.5 games is currently balanced at 50% probability, reflecting equal uncertainty about the match's total games. The resolution hinges on whether the sum of games in all sets (including tiebreaks as single games) meets or exceeds 23.
A bullish outcome (Over 22.5) is supported by potential high-intensity play, longer rallies, or a match extending to three sets, which could push the total games above the threshold. Weather conditions or player fatigue might also contribute to an extended contest.
A bearish outcome (Under 22.5) could result from a swift, one-sided match with minimal games, particularly if one player dominates early and wins in straight sets. Short tiebreak-heavy sets or a quick retirement could also drive the total below the threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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