Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_start_delay_or_cancellation
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:45:25 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,308,259
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Chepelev and Kalin Ivanovski in the ITF Skopje, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the tennis match Chepelev vs. Ivanovski (O/U 21.5 games) is nearly evenly split, with a 49.50% probability of the total games exceeding 21.5. The market suggests a high likelihood of a close, competitive match.
A bullish outcome assumes both players engage in an aggressive, high-scoring match with frequent breaks and extended rallies, leading to over 21.5 games. Factors like surface type (if faster) or both players being aggressive baseliners could support this scenario.
A bearish outcome assumes a defensive, low-scoring match with fewer breaks and shorter points, resulting in under 22 games. Factors like a slow court surface, both players being serve-dominant, or extreme weather conditions could drive this outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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