Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Incomplete or canceled match
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:21:51 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Moerani Bouzige and Taiyo Yamanaka in the ITF Wuning, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Bouzige vs. Yamanaka Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 is currently at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation between the over and under outcomes. The neutral probability reflects the absence of clear dominance by either player in the prediction.
A bullish outlook could favor an over outcome if both players are aggressive servers or if the match features high-intensity rallies, increasing the likelihood of exceeding 8.5 games. Weather conditions or court surface favoring faster play might also contribute to this scenario.
A bearish outlook favors an under outcome if the match is dominated by dominant serves, leading to quick games or early breaks, resulting in fewer than 9 games. Defensive playstyles or adverse weather conditions prolonging points could similarly reduce the total game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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