Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:19:39 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,685,318
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Cesar Bouchelaghem and Jonas Eriksson Ziverts in the ITF Monastir, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Bouchelaghem vs. Ziverts first set games over/under 9.5 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no clear market bias. The outcome hinges on the total games played in the first set, with a tiebreak counting as one game.
The bull case assumes an aggressive, high-pace match with extended rallies and frequent breaks, pushing the total games over 9.5. If both players are in top form, the first set could exceed 10 games, favoring the 'Over' outcome.
The bear case suggests a tightly contested match with quick breaks, short games, or a dominant player winning early, keeping the total under 9.5. A first-set tiebreak could also skew the count toward 'Under' if the set is decided quickly.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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