Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:20:58 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,685,318
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxence Bertimon and Pietro Marino in the ITF Amstelveen, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Bertimon vs. Marino tennis match O/U 23.5 market is currently at 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear bias toward Over or Under. The neutral probability reflects the inherent uncertainty in tennis match totals, where outcomes depend on match dynamics and player styles.
An Over 23.5 outcome is plausible if both players are aggressive baseline hitters or serve-and-volley specialists, leading to extended rallies and frequent breaks. Bertimon’s higher ATP ranking (250) and Marino’s lower ranking (350) suggest potential for a competitive match with higher game counts.
An Under 23.5 outcome is likely if either player is dominant with a powerful serve or if the match features many straight-set victories with minimal breaks. Weather conditions, fatigue, or early retirement could also suppress the total game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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