Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: broadcast rights disputes
AI updated 6/26/2026, 12:53:56 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN Consensus
55%
Crowd
48%
Confidence
Medium
Crowd Consensus
48%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
+0.2
Opportunity
0.1
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated: Swedish parliamentary election
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated: 2026 Travelers Championship
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated: Freddie Mac’s market cap
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated: 2026 FIFA World Cup
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated: 2026 FIFA World Cup individual player awards
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 20.0¢
Entry: 45-51
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
0 points
Official IPL/BCCI viewership report for 2026 season
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market suggests a near-even split on whether IPL 2026 will surpass the all-time viewership record, with a 47.80% probability assigned to a new peak. This reflects moderate uncertainty, balancing factors like expanding broadcast reach and potential viewership saturation.
IPL 2026 could break records due to expanded global streaming partnerships (e.g., Disney+ Hotstar, JioCinema) and increased fan engagement in emerging markets like Africa and the US. Additional franchises or format changes (e.g., more games) may also drive higher viewership.
Rising competition from other sports leagues (e.g., ILT20, global T20 leagues) and streaming fatigue could erode IPL’s viewership dominance. Economic downturns or player controversies might also dampen audience interest.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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