Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected roster changes or player absences
Calibrated 100% · raw 400% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:31:32 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
85%
ORYN Consensus
81%
Signal Score
-4.0
Opportunity
3.2
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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KPL Growth League Group Stage is positively correlated with Manifold.love's daily active users growth, TC Grouping's performance in the KPL Growth League Group Stage is negatively correlated with the likelihood of the US debt ceiling being raised, Qing Jiu Club's performance in the KPL Growth League Group Stage is positively correlated with Sam Altman's likelihood of becoming OpenAI's CEO, the outcome of the KPL Growth League Group Stage is not correlated with the likelihood of a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages, the outcome of the KPL Growth League Group Stage is not correlated with OpenAI's source code transition
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -400.0¢
Entry: 82-88
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
57 points
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Qing Jiu Club and TC Grouping in the KPL Growth League Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 27 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Qing Jiu Club" if Qing Jiu Club win the match against TC Grouping. This market will resolve to "TC Grouping" if TC Grouping win the match against Qing Jiu Club. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Qing Jiu Club is heavily favored (81%) to defeat TC Grouping in the KPL Growth League Group Stage match. The high market probability suggests strong confidence in Qing Jiu Club's performance based on recent form, player strength, or historical matchups.
Qing Jiu Club's dominance is expected due to superior roster depth, recent high win rates, or TC Grouping's inconsistent performance in prior matches. Historical data and meta-strategy trends also favor Qing Jiu Club's playstyle against TC Grouping's comp.
TC Grouping could pull off an upset if Qing Jiu Club suffers from roster instability, key player absences, or if TC Grouping's draft counters Qing Jiu Club's strengths. External factors like coaching decisions or in-game strategy missteps may also play a role.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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