Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or indefinite delay
AI updated 7/1/2026, 1:15:52 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,425,316
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between JLY and WanZhen Esports Club in the KPL Growth League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 4 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if JLY and WanZhen Esports Club play 5 or more games in this series. If fewer than 5 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Honor of Kings match between JLY and WanZhen Esports Club in the KPL Growth League Group Stage is currently at 50.00%, indicating a balanced outlook on whether the series will exceed 4.5 games. The resolution hinges on the match format and potential for extended series or forfeits.
The bull case assumes a competitive series where the match extends to 5 or more games, potentially due to close matchups, strategic depth, or unforeseen circumstances like tiebreaks or extended play. High player engagement and balanced team performance could drive this outcome.
The bear case suggests the series concludes in fewer than 5 games, either due to a dominant team sweeping the match or a forfeiture/default early in the series. External factors like scheduling conflicts, player unavailability, or organizational decisions could also truncate the series.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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