This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: unexpected meteorological events (e.g., prolonged drought)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 4:31:04 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
3%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.1
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market indicates a low probability (2.60%) that Singapore's highest temperature on June 29, 2026, will reach 34°C or higher, based on historical climatological trends and typical weather patterns for the region.
A bullish scenario could materialize if an anomalous heatwave or prolonged dry spell occurs in late June 2026, driven by strong El Niño conditions or persistent high-pressure systems over Southeast Asia, pushing temperatures above historical averages.
A bearish outcome is more likely given Singapore's equatorial climate, where temperatures rarely exceed 34°C in June due to consistent humidity and cloud cover. Historical data from the past decade shows a maximum June temperature of 33.8°C, suggesting the market's low probability is justified.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 29? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 2.6% while ORYN AI estimates 2.5%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
