This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: Data revisions from Wunderground post-resolution cutoff
AI updated 6/27/2026, 8:15:33 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
16%
ORYN Consensus
17%
Signal Score
+1.5
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market indicates a low probability (17%) that Singapore's highest temperature on June 28, 2026, will reach 31°C. Historical climate data and seasonal trends suggest this outcome is unlikely given Singapore's typical temperature ranges.
A bullish scenario could unfold if an unexpected heatwave or prolonged dry spell occurs in late June 2026, driven by prolonged El Niño conditions or localized urban heat island effects. Rare atmospheric anomalies or delayed monsoon transitions could also push temperatures to 31°C.
The bearish case is supported by Singapore's consistent tropical climate, where June temperatures typically range between 25-30°C. Persistent cloud cover, increased rainfall from the Southwest Monsoon, or global cooling trends could suppress peak temperatures below 31°C.
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Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 28? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 15.5% while ORYN AI estimates 17%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
