This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: data_revision_uncertainty
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:45:27 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
26%
ORYN Consensus
24%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.5
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market predicts a 26% chance that Seoul's highest temperature on June 29, 2026, will reach 27°C. Historical June 29 data from Incheon International Airport suggests this is plausible but not the most probable outcome.
June 29, 2026, could see temperatures reaching 27°C due to potential heatwave conditions, urban heat island effects, or anomalous weather patterns like a prolonged high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula. Seoul's historical June highs occasionally exceed 27°C, particularly in recent years with climate change trends.
The likelihood of Seoul hitting 27°C on June 29 is low due to typical June weather patterns, which often feature temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s°C. Persistent cloud cover, seasonal rain fronts, or cooler-than-average conditions could suppress temperatures below the threshold.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 26% while ORYN AI estimates 24%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
