This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: Late revisions to temperature data by Wunderground
AI updated 6/27/2026, 7:45:38 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
23%
ORYN Consensus
22%
Signal Score
-1.0
Opportunity
0.8
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market assigns a 21.5% probability that Seoul's highest temperature on June 28, 2026, will reach 27°C. Historical climate data and seasonal trends suggest this is a plausible but not dominant outcome for late June in the region.
Unseasonably warm weather patterns, such as a prolonged high-pressure system or heatwave, could push temperatures to 27°C. Climate trends indicate rising baseline temperatures in East Asia, increasing the likelihood of extreme heat events.
Typical late June temperatures in Seoul average around 25-26°C, with 27°C representing an upper bound. Persistent cloud cover, monsoon influences, or cooler-than-average conditions would reduce the probability of reaching 27°C.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 22.5% while ORYN AI estimates 21.5%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
