Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data revisions from Wunderground (post-resolution cutoff)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:30:35 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
2%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
+0.1
Opportunity
0.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,217,306
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 15.0¢
Entry: 0-5
—
Resolution
14h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates a low probability (2.2%) that Kuala Lumpur's highest temperature on June 29, 2026, will reach 29°C. Historical climate data and seasonal trends strongly suggest temperatures are unlikely to hit this specific threshold during the region's monsoon season.
If a late monsoon delay or an anomalous weather system (e.g., a strong El Niño-induced heatwave) occurs, temperatures could spike to 29°C. Such events are rare but not impossible, as Kuala Lumpur's average highs in late June typically range between 31-33°C during dry spells.
Standard monsoon conditions in late June usually keep highs below 29°C, with average temperatures hovering around 31-32°C. Persistent cloud cover, rain, or cooler-than-average winds would likely suppress peak temperatures, making 29°C an outlier.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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