This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: Unpredictable weather anomalies affecting temperature
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:15:20 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
99%
ORYN Consensus
97%
Signal Score
-1.5
Opportunity
1.5
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market overwhelmingly predicts (98.50%) that Karachi's highest temperature on June 27, 2026, will reach 35°C. This aligns with historical June temperature patterns for the region, where highs frequently exceed 34°C.
Karachi's monsoon onset in late June typically brings sustained high temperatures, with historical data showing daily highs often exceeding 34°C. Climate trends indicate increasing urban heat island effects in Karachi, further elevating temperatures.
Unseasonal weather anomalies, such as early monsoon rains or unusual cloud cover, could suppress temperatures below 35°C. Data revisions post-resolution could marginally adjust readings, though unlikely to alter the outcome.
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Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 27? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 98.5% while ORYN AI estimates 97%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
