This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: Data source revisions after market closure
AI updated 6/26/2026, 11:15:45 PM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
6%
ORYN Consensus
6%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market indicates a low probability (5.65%) that Karachi's highest temperature on June 27, 2026, will reach 33°C, based on historical temperature trends and seasonal patterns. The resolution depends on real-time data from Wunderground for Masroor Airbase Station.
A bullish scenario could unfold if Karachi experiences an unusual heatwave due to climate anomalies, such as a delayed monsoon or high-pressure systems, pushing temperatures to or above 33°C. Early seasonal heatwaves or urban heat island effects could also contribute to higher-than-expected readings.
A bearish outcome is more likely given Karachi's historical June temperatures, which rarely exceed 33°C at Masroor Airbase. Cool oceanic influences, monsoon onset, or cloud cover could suppress peak temperatures below the threshold, aligning with typical seasonal norms.
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Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 27? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 5.7% while ORYN AI estimates 5.7%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
