This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: unpredictable late-season weather shifts
Calibrated 100% · raw 300% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 8:30:15 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
95%
ORYN Consensus
92%
Signal Score
-3.0
Opportunity
2.6
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market indicates a 95% probability that Houston's highest temperature on June 27, 2026, will fall within the 94-95°F range, based on current climatological trends and historical data patterns for late June in the region.
Historical climate data for Houston in late June shows a strong likelihood of high temperatures between 94-95°F, with recent years (2020-2024) frequently recording peak daily temperatures in this range. The absence of extreme heat anomalies or unusual weather patterns in early forecasts for 2026 supports this outcome.
Anomalous weather conditions such as unseasonal cold fronts, increased cloud cover, or unusual precipitation could suppress temperatures below the 94°F threshold. Additionally, if climate models predict a late-season heatwave peaking outside this range, the probability could decline significantly.
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Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 27? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 95% while ORYN AI estimates 92%.
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