This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: Data revision delays from Wunderground
AI updated 6/26/2026, 10:15:12 PM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
3%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market indicates a low probability (2.80%) that Helsinki will record a high temperature of 28°C on June 28, 2026, based on historical climate data and current weather trends.
A bullish scenario could emerge if an unexpected heatwave affects Finland in late June 2026, driven by prolonged high-pressure systems or unusual atmospheric conditions. Unseasonably warm air masses from southern Europe or Russia could push temperatures beyond typical seasonal norms.
A bearish outcome is more likely given Helsinki's historical climate patterns, where 28°C is rare in late June. Persistent cloud cover, maritime influence, or cooler-than-average air masses from the North Atlantic could suppress temperatures below the threshold.
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Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on June 28? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 2.8% while ORYN AI estimates 2.8%.
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