Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: late_data_revisions
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:00:26 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
70%
ORYN Consensus
70%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 66-72
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 69.50% probability that Helsinki will reach at least 25°C on June 27, 2026, based on historical temperature trends and seasonal patterns. This aligns with typical late-June temperatures in the region, though variability exists due to climate factors.
A high-pressure system over Scandinavia could bring warm air from continental Europe, pushing temperatures above 25°C. Recent warming trends in the Baltic region also support this outcome, as June 2025 saw similar conditions. Additionally, urban heat island effects in Helsinki may contribute to higher readings.
Unseasonable cold fronts or maritime air masses could suppress temperatures below 25°C, especially if cloud cover or precipitation persists. Historical data shows occasional late-June cold snaps in Helsinki, though these are less common. La Niña conditions might also delay seasonal warming.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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