This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: unexpected_climate_shift_altering_temperature_normals
AI updated 6/26/2026, 6:45:38 PM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The probability of Denver's highest temperature on June 27, 2026, falling within the 100-101°F range is extremely low at 0.35%, based on historical climate data and seasonal trends. This market reflects an outlier scenario given Denver's average late-June high temperatures.
A rare heatwave could push temperatures into the 100-101°F range, driven by high-pressure systems, persistent drought conditions, or climate anomalies. Such events have occurred historically (e.g., June 2012 hit 105°F), though they are statistically uncommon. Unseasonably warm global weather patterns could also contribute.
Denver's late-June climatology favors highs in the 80-90°F range, with 100°F+ events historically rare. Persistent cloud cover, unusual cold fronts, or wetter-than-average monsoon conditions would suppress temperatures below the target range. The market's low probability aligns with these baseline expectations.
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Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on June 27? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 0.4% while ORYN AI estimates 0.4%.
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