Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: data revisions from Wunderground after initial publication
Calibrated 100% · raw 350% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 7:00:37 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
49%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+3.5
Opportunity
2.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 350.0¢
Entry: 45-52
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
4 points
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Denver's highest temperature on June 26, 2026, currently shows a 53% probability of the temperature falling between 86-87°F. This reflects slight bullish sentiment given the proximity to the midpoint of the range.
A bullish outlook would favor temperatures near the upper end of the 86-87°F range due to potential early-season heatwave patterns, urban heat island effects in Denver, or persistent high-pressure systems over the region. Historical trends for late June in Denver also show occasional spikes into this range.
A bearish outlook would suggest temperatures may fall outside the 86-87°F range, either below (cooler-than-average conditions, cloud cover, or precipitation) or above (extreme heat exceeding 87°F). Unseasonable weather patterns, such as late cold fronts or monsoon influences, could skew results.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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