Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected weather anomalies (e.g., cold fronts, storms)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 3:30:26 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
6%
ORYN Consensus
6%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Geopolitical Event Impact on Oil Prices (Strait of Hormuz)
correlates · strength 60%
Weather and Energy Demand (Temperature in Dallas and Crude Oil prices)
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 2-8
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market assigns a 5.50% probability that Dallas will record a high temperature between 100-101°F on June 28, 2026, based on historical climatological data and seasonal trends. This low probability reflects the rarity of such precise temperature ranges in the region during late June.
A high of 100-101°F on June 28, 2026, could occur if an early-season heatwave develops due to persistent high-pressure systems over Texas, combined with dry soil conditions reducing evaporative cooling. Additionally, urban heat island effects in Dallas may marginally elevate temperatures beyond climatological averages.
The probability remains low due to the climatological unlikelihood of Dallas reaching exactly 100-101°F in late June, as historical data shows higher variability. Early-season heatwaves are less common, and any deviation from forecasted weather patterns (e.g., cloud cover or precipitation) could suppress temperatures below the target range.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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