This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: data_precision_lag
AI updated 6/27/2026, 1:15:50 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
23%
ORYN Consensus
21%
Signal Score
-1.6
Opportunity
1.4
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market indicates a 22.60% probability that the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 28, 2026, will be 16°C or higher. Historical climate data for Buenos Aires in late June suggests this is a low-probability event due to typical winter conditions.
Unseasonably warm weather could push temperatures to 16°C or higher, driven by unusual atmospheric conditions such as a strong warm front or a rare heatwave event in winter. Climate anomalies or localized urban heat island effects might also contribute to higher temperatures.
Late June in Buenos Aires typically features cool winter temperatures, with averages around 10-13°C. Persistent cold fronts, high cloud cover, or rainfall could suppress daytime highs below 16°C, aligning with historical norms.
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Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or higher on June 28? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 22.6% while ORYN AI estimates 21%.
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