Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion of Pepi
AI updated 7/1/2026, 9:15:26 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
6%
ORYN Consensus
6%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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No influence from crude oil prices on sports events
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No direct correlation with geopolitical or energy markets
correlates · strength 60%
No impact from technology or user metrics
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,570,118
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 3-9
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ricardo Pepi records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ricardo Pepi scoring 1+ goals in the USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina World Cup match has a low probability of 5.50%, indicating skepticism about his goal-scoring potential in this fixture. The outcome depends heavily on Pepi's form, tactical role, and match dynamics.
Pepi is a proven goal scorer for the USA, with recent form suggesting he could capitalize on defensive lapses in Bosnia's backline. If deployed as a focal striker or in a creative midfield role, his movement and finishing could yield a goal. Bosnia's defense has conceded in recent matches, increasing the potential for Pepi to exploit their vulnerabilities.
Pepi has limited minutes in recent games and may not start, reducing his goal-scoring opportunities. Bosnia's defensive structure is disciplined, and their goalkeeper has been in strong form, making it difficult for Pepi to find the net. Additionally, the USA's tactical approach may prioritize possession over direct attacking, limiting Pepi's chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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