Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion of Balogun
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:03:01 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,491,079
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Folarin Balogun records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Folarin Balogun scoring 1+ goals in the USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina World Cup match on July 1 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting balanced expectations for his performance. The outcome hinges on his role in the match and the tactical setup of the US team.
Balogun has shown strong form in recent matches, including pre-tournament friendlies, and could exploit Bosnia's defensive vulnerabilities in wide areas. If deployed as a starter or key substitute, his pace and finishing could lead to goal-scoring opportunities.
Balogun may struggle to get significant playing time if the US coach prioritizes other attackers or tactical systems. Bosnia's defense, anchored by experienced players, could neutralize his threat, reducing his goal-scoring chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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