Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match postponement or cancellation altering dynamics
AI updated 6/26/2026, 6:15:27 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Spain, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Uruguay vs. Spain match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Spain?' shows an extremely low probability (0.85%) of this outcome occurring in their FIFA World Cup match. Historical head-to-head data and team performance metrics strongly disfavor this specific scoreline.
Uruguay could overperform expectations with a high-pressing defensive system forcing errors from Spain, while their counterattacking forwards capitalize on transitions. Spain's potential fatigue from a grueling group stage might lead to defensive lapses, enabling Uruguay to secure a 3-1 victory.
Spain's possession-based dominance and superior technical quality make a 3-1 scoreline highly unlikely, as their midfield control typically limits opponents to minimal scoring opportunities. Uruguay's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of clinical finishing further reduce the probability of this outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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