In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Spain, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Uruguay takes 5 or more corners within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Uruguay takes fewer than 5 corners within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on corners taken by Uruguay, not the combined number of corners taken by both teams. Markets on number of corners refer to corners taken, not corners awarded. Corners awarded but not taken will not count. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injuries or suspensions affecting key players
AI updated 6/26/2026, 9:45:33 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Spain, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Uruguay takes 5 or more corners within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Uruguay takes fewer than 5 corners within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on corners taken by Uruguay, not the combined number of corners taken by both teams. Markets on number of corners refer to corners taken, not corners awarded. Corners awarded but not taken will not count. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
28%
ORYN Consensus
28%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Uruguay taking over 4.5 corners against Spain in their FIFA World Cup match has a low probability of 28.50%, suggesting a bearish outlook. Spain’s possession-based style and Uruguay’s defensive structure likely contribute to this assessment.
Uruguay could exceed 4.5 corners if they adopt a more aggressive attacking approach, exploiting Spain’s high defensive line. Midfield dynamism (e.g., Valverde, De la Cruz) may force Spain to concede corners in wide areas. Historical data shows Uruguay averages 5.2 corners per game in recent tournaments.
Spain’s dominance in possession (avg. 60% in Euro 2024 qualifiers) and pressing may limit Uruguay’s corner opportunities. Spain’s full-backs (e.g., Lino, Carvajal) are disciplined defensively, reducing Uruguay’s chances. Uruguay’s recent average is 4.1 corners per game in World Cup qualifiers.
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Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 4.5 Corners is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 28.5% while ORYN AI estimates 28.5%.
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